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Eastern Africa and the Horn

Tanzanian riot police next to a vandalised campaign poster of President Hassan in Namanga, Tanzania, on 30 October 2025. © Thomas Mukoya/Reuters

Tanzania
Samia Suluhu Hassan reshuffles team in attempt at crisis resolution

The grave economic and political consequences of the post-election instability have forced the president to rethink her entire strategy. As a result, her party's electoral manifesto looks doomed.

Subscribers only Politics 14.11.2025

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio in Washington, 10 November 2025. © Kevin Lamarque/Reuters

Sudan
As MBS heads to Washington, Marco Rubio turns up the heat

The US Secretary of State met Saudi Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan in Canada. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is expected to make a case against RSF's backers during his visit to Washington on 18 November.

Subscribers only Diplomacy 14.11.2025

Kenya
Kithure Kindiki tries to calm Chai storm as tea producer discontent brews

Kenya's Deputy President Kithure Kindiki in Nairobi, 17 October 2025. © Boniface Muthoni/Sopa Images/Reuters

Subscribers only Commodity traders 13.11.2025

Kenya
Nairobi gears up for summit on future tripartite free-trade zone

The William Ruto administration has set up a team from several ministries and administrations to organise a Tripartite Free Trade Area heads of state summit.

Subscribers only Business, Diplomacy 13.11.2025

Ethiopia, Kenya
Kenyan army set to open two military bases in Turkana

Faced with security issues in the county, which borders Ethiopia and South Sudan, William Ruto has personally intervened to speed up plans to station his army in the northwestern county.

Subscribers only Defence 12.11.2025

Burundi, Tanzania
Ndayishimiye and his allies rocked by Tanzanian crisis

Évariste Ndayishimiye (l) and Kassim Majaliwa (r), then Tanzanian prime minister, inaugurate the Uvinza-Musongati railway worksite in Musongati, Burundi on 16 August 2025. © Ji Li / Xinhua via AFP

Subscribers only Politics, Diplomacy 12.11.2025

Kenya
Snubbed by business heads, Rigathi Gachagua joins forces with the rest of the opposition

The former deputy president's aggressive style has deterred business leaders in the Central region, who want to preserve their commercial empires. Some fear reprisals from the head of state, or prefer to remain loyal to his predecessor, Uhuru Kenyatta.

Subscribers only Politics, Business 11.11.2025

Tanzania
Faced with protests, army deploys new Turkish armoured vehicles

The TPDF patrolled the city's main roads in recently commissioned light vehicles manufactured by Nurol Makina.

Subscribers only Defence 11.11.2025

Tanzania
How authorities ensured the security of key infrastructure amid the crisis

The protests and violence punctuating Samia Suluhu Hassan's election have damaged infrastructure and businesses which had become the symbols of power and its excesses. The army was at times called in to protect these assets.

Subscribers only Defence, Business 10.11.2025

Tanzania
Samia Suluhu Hassan shows muscle in post-electoral crisis

Re-elected without any real opposition during a controversial election, the president must now come to terms with the most serious political crisis in the recent history of her country. While the human toll is high, the weakened head of state wishes to consolidate her hold on power.

Subscribers only Politics 07.11.2025

Tanzania's President Samia Suluhu Hassan in Dodoma, 3 November 2025.

Egypt, Sudan
Sissi's delicate balancing act since the fall of El Fasher

Confronted with the threat of Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo's forces, Cairo is seeking to provide more support to the regular army, which has now been mobilised to defend the city of El Obeid. But for the Egyptian military, direct involvement in the conflict is a red line.

Subscribers only Defence, Diplomacy 07.11.2025

Uganda
Massive army purge under wraps in lead-up to presidential election

With two months until the crucial election, the prisons are filling up with military personnel awaiting trial, dismissed for various reasons. The court martial responsible for judging them is still not operational.

Subscribers only Defence, Politics 06.11.2025

Sudan
Port Sudan seeks Russian combat aircraft to lead strikes against RSF

A few weeks before the military defeat in El Fasher, the SAF high command had launched consultations to acquire Sukhoi fighter jets. Since the fall of the Darfurian city, the objective has been to halt the advance of the Rapid Support Forces using long-range aircraft.

Subscribers only Defence 06.11.2025

Kenya
Influx of foreign nationals fuels suspicion ahead of polls

The opposition accuses William Ruto of importing potential new voters from neighbouring countries. The president's appointment of a close ally to the immigration portfolio is raising tension in central Kenya.

Subscribers only Politics 05.11.2025

Kenya, South Sudan
New diplomatic order with Juba after death of Odinga

The former opponent was closely following the developments in the political situation in South Sudan for which he had been William Ruto's special envoy. Previously involved in the matter, Kalonzo Musyoka could be asked to step back in.

Subscribers only Diplomacy 04.11.2025

Sudan
General Burhan reviews military alliances in light of El Fasher defeat

Discussions between Port Sudan and its main allies have intensified since the fall of the North Darfur capital. While awaiting a potential ceasefire, the Sudanese regular army hopes to catch up technologically with the RSF paramilitary.

Subscribers only Defence 04.11.2025

Kenya
$350m contract awarded to Ruto allies under investigation

The amount and length of the negotiated contract and the closeness of certain shareholders to the head of state have raised eyebrows. Hearings with senior government figures have been planned by the anticorruption agency while parliament also intends to look at the issue.

Subscribers only Politics, Business 03.11.2025

Tanzania
Election crisis: Samia Suluhu Hassan seeks support from Ruto and Museveni

While the Kenyan and Ugandan presidents have been able to speak with the head of state, who is running for re-election, Western embassies have been operating in the dark since the first day of the election.

Subscribers only Politics 31.10.2025

Candidate and outgoing president Samia Suluhu Hassan in Mwanza, Tanzania, on 28 October 2025.

Eritrea, Ethiopia
Afars an unknown entity in Abiy's plans for port of Assab

In its quest for access to the Red Sea, the Ethiopian administration is sounding out the Afars for support. This community, spread across the border with Eritrea, is not entirely in favour of the armed struggle option.

Subscribers only Politics 31.10.2025

Kenya
Spy chief Noordin Haji shuts down his radio station

Faced with huge financial problems, Radio Salaam FM has ceased broadcasting. Its frequencies have been reallocated following a process the rapidity of which raises questions. Waiting in the wings is Mines Minister Hassan Joho, also keen to take over the station.

Subscribers only Business 31.10.2025

Uganda
Museveni teams up with Moscow to help keep eye on country for the elections

Russian delegations have recently been visiting the Ugandan capital, leading to growing investment in digital technology and communications. Running for a seventh term, the president is counting on Moscow's support to strengthen his online surveillance capabilities.

Subscribers only Diplomacy 30.10.2025

Spotlight | Sudan
From Washington to El Fasher, chronicle of an abortive truce

The talks overseen by Donald Trump's Africa adviser, Massad Boulos, seemed to get off to a good start, but they fell apart in just a few days. The taking of El Fasher, which played out at the same time, moved the goalposts.

Subscribers only Politics 30.10.2025

Screenshot of a video published by the Rapid Support Forces during the siege of El Fasher, in Sudan, on 26 October 2025.

Sudan
In Port Sudan, an intense power struggle is underway over Ministry of Foreign Affairs

General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan's military leadership is reluctant to let the civilian government dictate foreign policy during wartime. The reshuffling continues at the head of the ministry.

Subscribers only Diplomacy 29.10.2025

Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda
Ruto's opponents remain tight-lipped on Tanzanian and Ugandan comrades' detention

The Kenyan president's main opponents are preferring to keep quiet about the fate of their counterparts imprisoned in neighbouring countries, for fear of creating diplomatic tensions.

Subscribers only Politics, Diplomacy 29.10.2025

Sudan
General Burhan's camp riven by divisions in the light of the taking of El Fasher

SAF second in command, General Shams al-Dine Kabbashi, gathered the recommendations from political groups in mid-October for the start of a national dialogue. As there is a lack of consensus from the outset, this initiative risks suffering at the hands of the RSF advance in Darfur.

Subscribers only Politics 28.10.2025

The weekly summary

Eastern Africa and the Horn Picto Synthese

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Gabon
The secrets behind the FGIS, a sovereign wealth fund set adrift

Africa
Massad Boulos, a free agent of Donald Trump's African diplomacy under close watch

Eastern Africa and the Horn

Tanzania
Samia Suluhu Hassan reshuffles team in attempt at crisis resolution

Sudan
As MBS heads to Washington, Marco Rubio turns up the heat

Kenya
Kithure Kindiki tries to calm Chai storm as tea producer discontent brews

Kenya
Nairobi gears up for summit on future tripartite free-trade zone

Ethiopia, Kenya
Kenyan army set to open two military bases in Turkana

Burundi, Tanzania
Ndayishimiye and his allies rocked by Tanzanian crisis

Kenya
Snubbed by business heads, Rigathi Gachagua joins forces with the rest of the opposition

Tanzania
Faced with protests, army deploys new Turkish armoured vehicles

Tanzania
How authorities ensured the security of key infrastructure amid the crisis

Tanzania
Samia Suluhu Hassan shows muscle in post-electoral crisis

Egypt, Sudan
Sissi's delicate balancing act since the fall of El Fasher

Uganda
Massive army purge under wraps in lead-up to presidential election

Sudan
Port Sudan seeks Russian combat aircraft to lead strikes against RSF

Kenya
Influx of foreign nationals fuels suspicion ahead of polls

Kenya, South Sudan
New diplomatic order with Juba after death of Odinga

Sudan
General Burhan reviews military alliances in light of El Fasher defeat

Kenya
$350m contract awarded to Ruto allies under investigation

Tanzania
Election crisis: Samia Suluhu Hassan seeks support from Ruto and Museveni

Eritrea, Ethiopia
Afars an unknown entity in Abiy's plans for port of Assab

Kenya
Spy chief Noordin Haji shuts down his radio station

Uganda
Museveni teams up with Moscow to help keep eye on country for the elections

Spotlight | Sudan
From Washington to El Fasher, chronicle of an abortive truce

Sudan
In Port Sudan, an intense power struggle is underway over Ministry of Foreign Affairs

Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda
Ruto's opponents remain tight-lipped on Tanzanian and Ugandan comrades' detention

Sudan
General Burhan's camp riven by divisions in the light of the taking of El Fasher

The weekly summary

About Africa Intelligence

Subscription

Africa Intelligence on social media

Indigo Publications' websites

About Africa Intelligence

Subscription

Indigo Publications' websites

Gabon The secrets behind the FGIS, a sovereign wealth fund set adrift

Africa Massad Boulos, a free agent of Donald Trump's African diplomacy under close watch

Simandou, Nimba and Zogota: the long and difficult road to the start of iron ore production

Cabo Delgado: a gas Eldorado and security nightmare

The Renaissance Dam – a national symbol but a regional quandary

Andry Rajoelina

African Development Bank

Paul Biya

Erik Prince

AFRICOM

Eastern Africa and the Horn

Tanzania Samia Suluhu Hassan reshuffles team in attempt at crisis resolution

Sudan As MBS heads to Washington, Marco Rubio turns up the heat

Kenya Kithure Kindiki tries to calm Chai storm as tea producer discontent brews

Kenya Nairobi gears up for summit on future tripartite free-trade zone

Ethiopia, Kenya Kenyan army set to open two military bases in Turkana

Burundi, Tanzania Ndayishimiye and his allies rocked by Tanzanian crisis

Kenya Snubbed by business heads, Rigathi Gachagua joins forces with the rest of the opposition

Tanzania Faced with protests, army deploys new Turkish armoured vehicles

Tanzania How authorities ensured the security of key infrastructure amid the crisis

Tanzania Samia Suluhu Hassan shows muscle in post-electoral crisis

Egypt, Sudan Sissi's delicate balancing act since the fall of El Fasher

Uganda Massive army purge under wraps in lead-up to presidential election

Sudan Port Sudan seeks Russian combat aircraft to lead strikes against RSF

Kenya Influx of foreign nationals fuels suspicion ahead of polls

Kenya, South Sudan New diplomatic order with Juba after death of Odinga

Sudan General Burhan reviews military alliances in light of El Fasher defeat

Kenya $350m contract awarded to Ruto allies under investigation

Tanzania Election crisis: Samia Suluhu Hassan seeks support from Ruto and Museveni

Eritrea, Ethiopia Afars an unknown entity in Abiy's plans for port of Assab

Kenya Spy chief Noordin Haji shuts down his radio station

Uganda Museveni teams up with Moscow to help keep eye on country for the elections

Spotlight | Sudan From Washington to El Fasher, chronicle of an abortive truce

Sudan In Port Sudan, an intense power struggle is underway over Ministry of Foreign Affairs

Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda Ruto's opponents remain tight-lipped on Tanzanian and Ugandan comrades' detention

Sudan General Burhan's camp riven by divisions in the light of the taking of El Fasher

The weekly summary

About Africa Intelligence

Subscription

Africa Intelligence on social media

Indigo Publications' websites

Gabon
The secrets behind the FGIS, a sovereign wealth fund set adrift

Africa
Massad Boulos, a free agent of Donald Trump's African diplomacy under close watch

Tanzania
Samia Suluhu Hassan reshuffles team in attempt at crisis resolution

Sudan
As MBS heads to Washington, Marco Rubio turns up the heat

Kenya
Kithure Kindiki tries to calm Chai storm as tea producer discontent brews

Kenya
Nairobi gears up for summit on future tripartite free-trade zone

Ethiopia, Kenya
Kenyan army set to open two military bases in Turkana

Burundi, Tanzania
Ndayishimiye and his allies rocked by Tanzanian crisis

Kenya
Snubbed by business heads, Rigathi Gachagua joins forces with the rest of the opposition

Tanzania
Faced with protests, army deploys new Turkish armoured vehicles

Tanzania
How authorities ensured the security of key infrastructure amid the crisis

Tanzania
Samia Suluhu Hassan shows muscle in post-electoral crisis

Egypt, Sudan
Sissi's delicate balancing act since the fall of El Fasher

Uganda
Massive army purge under wraps in lead-up to presidential election

Sudan
Port Sudan seeks Russian combat aircraft to lead strikes against RSF

Kenya
Influx of foreign nationals fuels suspicion ahead of polls

Kenya, South Sudan
New diplomatic order with Juba after death of Odinga

Sudan
General Burhan reviews military alliances in light of El Fasher defeat

Kenya
$350m contract awarded to Ruto allies under investigation

Tanzania
Election crisis: Samia Suluhu Hassan seeks support from Ruto and Museveni

Eritrea, Ethiopia
Afars an unknown entity in Abiy's plans for port of Assab

Kenya
Spy chief Noordin Haji shuts down his radio station

Uganda
Museveni teams up with Moscow to help keep eye on country for the elections

Spotlight | Sudan
From Washington to El Fasher, chronicle of an abortive truce

Sudan
In Port Sudan, an intense power struggle is underway over Ministry of Foreign Affairs

Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda
Ruto's opponents remain tight-lipped on Tanzanian and Ugandan comrades' detention

Sudan
General Burhan's camp riven by divisions in the light of the taking of El Fasher